Factors Shaping First-Time Voter Choices Among Santri and Students in Tapal Kuda Area, East Java, Indonesia

DOI: https://doi.org/10.33650/at-turas.v13i2.14998
Authors

(1) * Moh Syaeful Bahar   (UIN Sunan Ampel Surabaya)  
        Indonesia
(2)  Mohammad Rifan Firmansyah   (University of Vienna)  
        Austria
(*) Corresponding Author

Abstract


This study examines the voting behavior of first-time voters among santri and students in the Tapal Kuda, region within the broader context of democratic participation and local political dynamics in Indonesian East Java. The research addresses how socio-cultural, religious, and contextual factors shape electoral preferences among novice voters who are often influenced by communal ties and authority structures. The purpose of this study is to identify and analyze the key determinants that influence the voting behavior of first-time voters, particularly those affiliated with pesantren and secondary schools. This research employs a qualitative approach, using purposive sampling to select santri and student informants in the Tapal Kuda region. Data were collected through in-depth interviews, observation, and documentation, allowing for a holistic understanding of perceptions, awareness, and behavioral tendencies related to elections. The findings reveal that the voting behavior of first-time voters is shaped by multiple factors. First, political awareness and knowledge significantly influence the rationality of voting decisions. Second, candidate prominence, including social reputation, wealth, and religious knowledge, becomes an important consideration. Third, geographical proximity fosters familiarity and expectations of regional development benefits. Fourth, candidate performance, particularly physical appearance and perceived authority, affects voter preferences, especially among less politically mature voters. Fifth, emotional bonds derived from shared pesantren, school affiliations, organizational involvement, and kinship relations play a substantial role. Finally, religious considerations strongly shape voter choices, with candidates perceived as religiously knowledgeable gaining greater trust. These findings highlight the interplay between rational evaluation and socio-religious influences in shaping first-time voter behavior in the Tapal Kuda region.


Keywords

Voting behavior; First-time voters; Santri; Socio Religious influence; Political participation.



Full Text: PDF



References


Azevedo, F. G., & Salomão, M. (2025). The Impact That Political Social Media Marketing Causes on Young Portuguese Voters: A Quantitative Study About Voting Intentions. Journal of Political Marketing, 1–13. https://doi.org/10.1080/15377857.2025.2596597

Bardhan, P., Mitra, S., Mookherjee, D., & Nath, A. (2024). How do voters respond to welfare vis‐à‐vis public good programs? Theory and evidence of political clientelism. Quantitative Economics, 15(3), 655–697. https://doi.org/10.3982/QE2315

Christensen, M. (2015). Reestablishing “The Social” In Research On Democratic Processes: Mid-Century Voter Studies And Paul F. Lazarsfeld’s Alternative Vision: Reestablishing The Social In Democracy Research. Journal of the History of the Behavioral Sciences, 51(3), 308–332. https://doi.org/10.1002/jhbs.21731

Dahl, R. A. (1956). A preface to democratic theory. University of Chicago press.

Fiamrillah Zifamina, I. (2022). Yang Sakral, Mitos, dan Kosmos: Analisis Kritis atas Fenomenologi Agama Mircea Eliade. Panangkaran: Jurnal Penelitian Agama Dan Masyarakat, 6(1), 69–86. https://doi.org/10.14421/panangkaran.v6i1.2806

Fossati, D. (2025). What Drives Voting Behavior in Southeast Asia? Evidence from Candidate Choice Experiments in Five Countries. Journal of Current Southeast Asian Affairs, 44(3), 436–460. https://doi.org/10.1177/18681034251334253

Gherghina, S. (2025). Political Parties and Forms of Citizens’ Involvement in Decision-Making: A Special Section. Political Studies Review, 23(3), 694–699. https://doi.org/10.1177/14789299241307218

James, T. S., & Alihodzic, S. (2020). When Is It Democratic to Postpone an Election? Elections During Natural Disasters, COVID-19, and Emergency Situations. Election Law Journal: Rules, Politics, and Policy, 19(3), 344–362. https://doi.org/10.1089/elj.2020.0642

Kailash, K. K. (2023). Age and Party Choice: Generational Shift in India. Studies in Indian Politics, 11(2), 208–224. https://doi.org/10.1177/23210230231203784

Kholidi, I., Umam, F., Wazis, K., & Jali, H. (2024). Young People and the Fragmentation of Religious Authority: Study of Youth Movements and the Spirit of Islamic Da’wah in Indonesia. AT-TURAS: Jurnal Studi Keislaman, 11(1), 1–11. https://doi.org/10.33650/at-turas.v11i1.7986

Kulachai, W., Lerdtomornsakul, U., & Homyamyen, P. (2023). Factors Influencing Voting Decision: A Comprehensive Literature Review. Social Sciences, 12(9), 469. https://doi.org/10.3390/socsci12090469

Liu, H., Li, Q., Gao, C., Cao, Y., Xu, X., Wu, X., Hershcovich, D., & Gu, J. (2025). Beyond Demographics: Enhancing Cultural Value Survey Simulation with Multi-Stage Personality-Driven Cognitive Reasoning. Proceedings of the 2025 Conference on Empirical Methods in Natural Language Processing, 18417–18439. https://doi.org/10.18653/v1/2025.emnlp-main.928

Lubis, A. A. A. M. R. (2020). Religious Nation State: Bahtiar Effendy and Islamic Political Thought. Millah, 19(2), 167–198. https://doi.org/10.20885/millah.vol19.iss2.art1

Miklosi, Z. (2026). Perversity, futility, complicity: Should democrats participate in autocratic elections? American Journal of Political Science, ajps.70049. https://doi.org/10.1111/ajps.70049

Moesa, A. M. (2007). Nasionalisme kiai: Konstruksi sosial berbasis agama (Cet. 1). IAIN Sunan Ampel Press ; LKiS : Distribusi, LKiS Pelangi Aksara.

Mulisa, F. (2022). When Does a Researcher Choose a Quantitative, Qualitative, or Mixed Research Approach? Interchange, 53(1), 113–131. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10780-021-09447-z

Musadad, A. (2023). The Relationship of Religion and State Law in Indonesia Paradigm Theory Perspective of the Relationship Between Religion and the State. AT-TURAS: Jurnal Studi Keislaman, 10(2), 343–362. https://doi.org/10.33650/at-turas.v10i2.6934

Nissen, S. (2021). Political Participation: Inclusion of Citizens in Democratic Opinion-forming and Decision-Making Processes. In W. Leal Filho, A. M. Azul, L. Brandli, A. Lange Salvia, P. G. Özuyar, & T. Wall (Eds.), Peace, Justice and Strong Institutions (pp. 1–12). Springer International Publishing. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-71066-2_42-1

Nurlinah, Ansar, M. C., Megawati, S., & Chowdhury, K. (2025). Divided by class: Government perception and political participation in Indonesia and Bangladesh. Frontiers in Political Science, 7, 1673531. https://doi.org/10.3389/fpos.2025.1673531

Prats, M., & Meunier, A. (2021). Political efficacy and participation: An empirical analysis in European countries (OECD Working Papers on Public Governance 46; OECD Working Papers on Public Governance, Vol. 46). https://doi.org/10.1787/4548cad8-en

Przeworski, A. (2024). Defending Democracy. SSRN Electronic Journal. https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4701964

Rosenberg, E., & Smith, A. E. (2021). What Drives Religious Politicking? An Analysis of 24 Democratic Elections. Politics and Religion, 14(4), 735–763. https://doi.org/10.1017/S1755048320000644

Rule, S. (2023). Voting Behavior. In F. Maggino (Ed.), Encyclopedia of Quality of Life and Well-Being Research (pp. 7569–7571). Springer International Publishing. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-17299-1_3181

Saarinen, A., Koivula, A., & Keipi, T. (2020). Political trust, political party preference and trust in knowledge-based institutions. International Journal of Sociology and Social Policy, 40(1/2), 154–168. https://doi.org/10.1108/IJSSP-06-2019-0113

Sulaiman, S. M. I., Rahmatunnisa, M., Bainus, A., & Umam, A. K. (2025). Voting behavior in Asian democracies: A comprehensive synthesis of contemporary research. Masyarakat, Kebudayaan Dan Politik, 38(2), 139–155. https://doi.org/10.20473/mkp.V38I22025.139-155

Voting Behavior, Theories of. (2017). In F. M. Moghaddam, The SAGE Encyclopedia of Political Behavior. SAGE Publications, Inc. https://doi.org/10.4135/9781483391144.n408

Weber, M. (2013). The Protestant ethic and the spirit of capitalism (S. Kalberg, Ed.). Routledge. https://doi.org/10.4324/9781315063645


Dimensions, PlumX, and Google Scholar Metrics

10.33650/at-turas.v13i2.14998


Refbacks

  • There are currently no refbacks.


Copyright (c) 2026 Moh Syaeful Bahar

This journal is licensed under a

 Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 International License

P-ISSN: 2355-567X, E-ISSN: 2460-1063